How do you assess the blame for this result?
You Be The Judge
#3
Posted 2007-February-28, 10:32
Now, to be fair to North, it really doesn't seem like 3NT is all that bad. Sure you don't have a 9th trick, but they have to lead something. It's really hard for them to lead spades without giving me a trick eventually, and 4H could go set on a 4-1 diamond break, among other things.
#4
Posted 2007-February-28, 10:36
If I have to judge a guilty party for this hand, I guess south's bidding (in standard) can not be questioned, as it looks normal (if you allow prepared jumpshifts). So the blame, if there is any, is all on North. BtW, I like 1D-1H-3D to show great six card suit and 3 card support for the Major, and is how I would have bid this hand. I assume this bid was not available to this partnership.
#5
Posted 2007-February-28, 11:03
I think 3NT by North is clear, with poor hearts and what looks like a double spade stop.
If you bid 3D on the North hand you are effectively admitting that 3C is a conventional call, in which case you may as well agree some codified rebids.
#6
Posted 2007-February-28, 11:14
The 3♣ bid is a stretch, altho no alternative appears attractive: 3♦ is as much an underbid (or more) than 3♣ is an overbid. And 3♦ is never going to lead to 4♥.
2♣ is the sexy alternative, and these hands are a good advertisement for Cole or equivalent gadgets. 2♣ (if ostensibly natural) would work well because it would engender a 2♦ preference followed by 3♥, and responder would get the picture of a near-jump-shift 1=3=5=4 or so and should bid 4♥ now.
However, it seems way over the top to suggest that 3♣ was a mistake compared to the nail-biting-while-awaiting-partner's-call experiment of 2♣.
So the 'fault' seems to lie primarily with North who could well have bid 3♦. Knowing, as we all do, that S held K10x in ♥, 3♦ seems clear.
So long as we are comfortable that S will bid a noise 3♠ on, for example, xx Ax AKQxx AQJx, then the 3♦ preference has to be correct, since we can still get to 3N when right while never missing the 5-3 ♥ fit. If we are concerned that partner would/should bid 3♥ with the example hand, then maybe we should be bidding 3N because we will never know to raise 3♥ to 4♥, and we'd rather limit our weak hand now.
So fault: 30% to north, 5% to south and 65% to the choice of system (wouldn't we love to be playing big club or a gadget such as Ben's... on this hand... I sure like a natural 2N rebid most of the time but not now)
Edit: when I blame system, I am not saying this is a bad method... I am saying that every method, no matter what it may be, has hand types it can't handle well and this is the classic hand type for natural methods... which of course is why this type is known as the Bridge World Nightmare hand
#7
Posted 2007-February-28, 11:35
inquiry, on Feb 28 2007, 10:36 AM, said:
At my table, partner bid 3♦, and that's where we played. I may have been pessimistic, but I think there are many 15-16 hcp hands for 3♦ where no game has play.
Over 3♣ I would also bid 3♦. I am not sure how this makes 3♣ and artificial bid. I also don't understand how QTxx is a a likely double stopper. I would say its a good stopper opposite xx but a bad one opposite x.
#8
Posted 2007-February-28, 11:47
I think South's hand is too good for 3♦.
#9
Posted 2007-February-28, 11:53
I can see 4♥ is better because of the spots down to the 7.
Tough, but I really, really don't like 3♣. I'm fine with 3♦ (which gets us nowhere) or 2♣, which probably gets us to 4♥.
Should North rebid 3♠? I can't see why. 3N is where he lives, and wants to play opposite a strong jump shift in the minors. Should he take a false preference to 3♦? I can't see why. His spade tenace wants to declare 3N and its not clear the 5-3 is better anyway. Take away the ♥10 and I want to play 3N.
#10
Posted 2007-February-28, 18:20
If 3N is down, I blame N 91.2543% for failure to bid 3D. The rest of the blame percentage goes to S. for expecting to be able to show 3-card heart support with this particular partner.
#11
Posted 2007-February-28, 18:40
So.. blame goes: 100% bad luck
#12
Posted 2007-February-28, 18:53
With KTx of hearts, a stiff spade and partner bidding one heart I will try 2 clubs on this one.
Very tough. 3 of a minor jump rebids are so random.
#13
Posted 2007-February-28, 19:48
#14
Posted 2007-March-01, 02:22
I would say, I prefer 3D, but if you want to force
to game, that's ok, it is a style issue.
In this case, you take the blame, but it could have
easily worked out well.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#15
Posted 2007-March-01, 03:35
The_Hog, on Mar 1 2007, 01:48 AM, said:
Or you could say it's a good advertisement for the 2S gadget which shows various hands, one of which is a 3-6 invite. (2S = 3-6 invite or balanced 18-19 with 4 hearts or club mini-splinter, 2NT asks)
#16
Posted 2007-March-01, 03:52
I don't care 3 clubs, I don't even care to play this contract, if south has bid with their given methids tehn north should try 3♦, but even then, who knows if 3♥ would be on 2 cards?
#17
Posted 2007-March-01, 04:41
mike777, on Mar 1 2007, 12:53 AM, said:
They are random because US players insist in not giving in to ideas like
1. benjamin 2s
2. SEF 2♣/2♦ structure
3. opening 2♣ on hands of the strong 2 kind
#18
Posted 2007-March-01, 05:36
cherdano, on Mar 1 2007, 02:35 AM, said:
inquiry, on Feb 28 2007, 10:36 AM, said:
At my table, partner bid 3♦, and that's where we played. I may have been pessimistic, but I think there are many 15-16 hcp hands for 3♦ where no game has play.
Over 3♣ I would also bid 3♦. I am not sure how this makes 3♣ and artificial bid. I also don't understand how QTxx is a a likely double stopper. I would say its a good stopper opposite xx but a bad one opposite x.
Maybe you should stop jumping with 15-16 HCP hands? Then pd won´t pass your jump rebids any more with his decent 7 HCPs bagger.
I hat these 3 Club jump shifts without having a suit.
Bidding should be 1 ♦ 1 ♥ 3 ♦ 3 NT.
To loose 3 NT you need:
-a spade lead, or a heart lead
-The finesse for the jack of spade failing.
-Ace and king of spades in different hands.
-The ace of Heart behind the king- else West can never playing a third round of spades.
- some other layouts with AKJxx with East and AQ of Heart with West and a spade lead and Heart switch
This makes the contract a 4:1 favourite. I am quite happy to reach contracts like this. How much better is 4 Heart?
P.S. and of course QTxx is a good stop even opposite a singelton. Opps need to have an outside entry to the west hand and the finesse for the jack must fail to loose all spade tricks. This sounds like a good stop.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#19
Posted 2007-March-01, 05:55
Quote
1. benjamin 2s
2. SEF 2♣/2♦ structure
3. opening 2♣ on hands of the strong 2 kind
Or
4. Covering all 2NT rebids by opening 1♣ which can then (rarely) be 2 cards.
1♦ - 1♥
2NT* - 3♦
3♥ - 4♥
* Invitational 1-suiter, 0 - 2♥ or GF 1-suiter, 0 - 3♥.
or
1♦ - 1♥
3♦** - 4♥
** Invitational 1-suiter with 3♥.
#20
Posted 2007-March-01, 08:02
i would bid 3♦ if north changes ♠10 --♥10,or 3cards♦ +♣ Kx.
i take this 3nt is an acceptable bidding,i understood that north receive an message which was hinted 3♣ leap is a stanward 5-5 minors.
regards 000002

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1D 1H
3C 3N
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