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Trust the (bad) unfavorable opponents?

#1 User is offline   mikegill 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 10:27

Scoring: MP


LHO opens 2 and RHO insta-5 after partner's pass. Opponents are bad club players.
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#2 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 10:52

I don't see how you can pass this.

I double.
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#3 User is offline   jtfanclub 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 11:10

I would be tempted to bid 5 to see if I can get to double 6 instead.

But I'd just X. Partner didn't X 2, after all.
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#4 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 12:47

Pass WTP?

Edit: I guess I should add that I think this is a WTP because the opps are very bad. Opponents who are very bad and bid like this always have the nuts. If they were extremely bad I might double. For all I know, we are getting a top because 3NT is cold.
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#5 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 12:52

rogerclee, on Jun 19 2008, 01:47 PM, said:

Pass WTP?

WTP?

You could be cold for a grand opposite as little as:

Ax
x
xxxx
KQJxxx
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#6 User is offline   matmat 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 13:18

ArtK78, on Jun 19 2008, 01:52 PM, said:

rogerclee, on Jun 19 2008, 01:47 PM, said:

Pass WTP?

WTP?

You could be cold for a grand opposite as little as:

Ax
x
xxxx
KQJxxx

that's not asking much at all of a hand that passed 2
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#7 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 13:33

matmat, on Jun 19 2008, 02:18 PM, said:

ArtK78, on Jun 19 2008, 01:52 PM, said:

rogerclee, on Jun 19 2008, 01:47 PM, said:

Pass WTP?

WTP?

You could be cold for a grand opposite as little as:

Ax
x
xxxx
KQJxxx

that's not asking much at all of a hand that passed 2

I will admit that I did not take the pass over 2 into account. But that hand is not everyone's idea of a 3 bid over 2.

Even so, I said that the example hand gives you play for a GRAND slam. You could be cold for a SMALL slam (and possibly a grand) opposite much less; say

Ax
x
xxxx
Kxxxxx

I am sure you wouldn't bid 3 over 2 on those cards.

And, of course, your partner could have spades with you, such as this hand:

Axxxx
x
xxxx
KQx

6 is nearly 100% opposite that hand, and the grand may make. And I am sure that partner cannot be criticised for failing to call over 2.

The bottom line is that if partner fits one of your black suits and has a few black suit honor cards, slam is likely to make. And it is unlikely that your opponents are making 5 if partner chooses to pass your double (yes, it is possible). So passing 5 is a very anti-percentage call - it is right only when the opponents make and your partner is going to pass out your double OR if your partner pulls the double and neither side can make anything OR your partner pulls and your side goes for more than the value of their making game.

Quite a parlay.
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#8 User is offline   jtfanclub 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 14:03

matmat, on Jun 19 2008, 02:18 PM, said:

that's not asking much at all of a hand that passed 2

http://forums.bridge...showtopic=25985

jt's Insta-logic says you X this. The only reason not to double a 5m contract in MPs is if you think everybody else is going to be there or if 3NT is a viable option (ie., you beat out the 3NT+1 guys if you pass but not if you X). I suspect that if they make 5 they're getting a top X'd or not.

Besides, if I'm thunderous enough, maybe I can convince LHO to bid 5. <_<
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#9 User is offline   Halo 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 14:50

Pass.

LHO has a the diamonds and spade AQ and a club honour (void in hearts of course).

Partner has the hand he has shown - nothing. Simple players bidding huge hands don't always go off.
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#10 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 15:00

Just double. Pass is a lazy bid.

You are happy if pard pulls and you are happy if he sits. There's no other outcome <_<
"Phil" on BBO
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#11 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2008-June-19, 22:05

Opps are bad players? Sign me up for a X
- Andy -

We are all connected to each other biologically, to the Earth chemically, and to the rest of the universe atomically.
We're in the universe, and the universe is in us.
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#12 User is offline   mikegill 

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Posted 2008-June-21, 10:38

Ok, I chose to X, as did many of the other posters, but you end up playing 5d (x or not) either way. Question 2: what do you lead?
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#13 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-June-21, 12:39

mikegill, on Jun 19 2008, 11:27 AM, said:

Dealer: West
Vul: E/W
Scoring: MP
KJ9xx
AQ9x
 
ATxx
LHO opens 2 and RHO insta-5 after partner's pass.  Opponents are bad club players.

IMO
  • Call? _X = 10, _P = 8.
  • Lead? = 11 :), x = 10, A = 8, A = 6.

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