Posted 2004-August-21, 04:49
Hummer_, on Aug 17 2004, 02:54 PM, said:
If clubs are 3-5 then west will hold both honors or east will have a stiff honor 33% of the time and the clubs will not run. If clubs are 2-6 then east will have both honors 36% of the time and the clubs won't run 64% of the time. 5 card suits appear in about 48.4% of the hands (I doubled the % for the 55s) and 6 card suits in 13.8%. The weighted chance of the clubs not running is about 40%.
An interesting situation arises when east has a stiff ♦ honor and 5♣s and you lead towards the ♦J. With ♦Hxxxx will west fly?
Mike
I don't understand any of this. Where do these odds take into account the values required of East by reason of his double?
Psych (pron. saik): A gross and deliberate misstatement of honour strength and/or suit length. Expressly permitted under Law 73E but forbidden contrary to that law by Acol club tourneys.
Psyche (pron. sahy-kee): The human soul, spirit or mind (derived, personification thereof, beloved of Eros, Greek myth).
Masterminding (pron. m

s

t

r-m

nd

ing) tr. v. - Any bid made by bridge player with which partner disagrees.
"Gentlemen, when the barrage lifts." 9th battalion, King's own Yorkshire light infantry,
2000 years earlier: "morituri te salutant"
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