Help
straube, on 2013-July-27, 08:59, said:
It might be nice if you also started a thread for participants to describe their bidding methodologies including (after pattern has been shown) what S1, S2, S3, 3N, 4D, etc mean.
Something I've wondered is how you would address subjectivity regarding the following....let's say I know partner has 5413 and I can use DCB or RKC. The choice here is subjective and whether I do well depends on which choice I make as well as which RKC bid is assigned for which suit. It would also be tempting to reverse engineer outcomes and say "Well, I'd use RKC here" because it happens to give me the best result.
How do we get rid of this bias?
I think it would be most useful to only compare S1 continuations. I.e. I would only look at QP asking (my S1) and then see what PCB offers. Someone else might do control asking and then DCB. Etc.
Anyway, before you start offering deals, just a suggestion that we know what methodologies we're testing and make sure that a cross-comparison will give us useful results.
Something I've wondered is how you would address subjectivity regarding the following....let's say I know partner has 5413 and I can use DCB or RKC. The choice here is subjective and whether I do well depends on which choice I make as well as which RKC bid is assigned for which suit. It would also be tempting to reverse engineer outcomes and say "Well, I'd use RKC here" because it happens to give me the best result.
How do we get rid of this bias?
I think it would be most useful to only compare S1 continuations. I.e. I would only look at QP asking (my S1) and then see what PCB offers. Someone else might do control asking and then DCB. Etc.
Anyway, before you start offering deals, just a suggestion that we know what methodologies we're testing and make sure that a cross-comparison will give us useful results.
Dealer's hand is fixed
Relay Responder's shape is fixed
If folks start deviation too much in early stages of the auction, its going to be pretty obvious that something is up.
In a similar vein, if we bid 50 hands with the same starting conditions, we should assure ourselves a pretty good coverage of the early stages of the auction space.
Here once again, unless folks are employing a mixed bidding strategy (which seems somewhat strange) we'd expect identical decisions at the same point in the bidding tree.
(There is a reason what I specified this methodology)
(FWIW, I am using the methods that I document in my MOSCITO notes)