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Hand evaluation

#21 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2014-March-22, 15:43

I didn't say that the chance of diamonds 3-1 was zero. I just think it's lower than the probability that LHO has ♠J.

On reflection, though, if LHO wins the first spade and forces dummy, I should play a second spade and finesse. If LHO had ♠AJx, he could have beaten the contract easily by ducking the first spade.

When I suggested taking three club ruffs in dummy I was thinking of what I'd do if RHO won the first spade.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#22 User is offline   Lord Molyb 

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Posted 2014-March-22, 21:26

View PostCyberyeti, on 2014-March-10, 09:51, said:

Your system is Acol with 4 card majors and a 12-14 1N. If you hold 4M4m32 you open 1m. Vulnerable at teams.



Do you upgrade this ? (If you do, your system bid is 1♠, but it's not unknown for you to open 1m and rebid 1N as this has advantages in some sequences).


IMO, 1NT = 10, 1♠ = 9, 1♦ = 3

View PostCyberyeti, on 2014-March-10, 16:23, said:

I opened 1N for the record

If you haven't answered what you open, try that before trying the second part.

Partner's hand is:

Spoiler


IMO, after 1NT-2♣-2♠,
3♠ = 10, P = 7, 4♠ = 1
Become yourself.
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#23 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2014-March-23, 20:40

I also opted for 1N and at IMPS I think it is quite
reasonable to blast 4s. At MP I would invite.
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#24 User is offline   lycier 

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Posted 2014-March-24, 05:55

4333 without Ace,too flat,only have 13p values,of course,best to open 1nt.
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#25 User is offline   rmnka447 

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Posted 2014-March-25, 15:01

Playing weak NTs, I'm bidding 1 NT.
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#26 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2014-April-06, 17:01

I think the interesting question is whether to upgrade when playing strong NT.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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