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The Theory of Restricted Choice Any Defence against the Theory?

#21 User is offline   smerriman 

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Posted 2023-November-17, 22:53

View PostCascade, on 2023-November-17, 15:15, said:

You can probably do a better experiment by generating hands with QJ only and forcing GIB to defend on some reasonably straight forward auctions like 1NT 3NT and 1 3 4 etc and observing what GIB does on a much bigger data set.

Well, I just dealt a couple of hundred different random hands with an advanced robot and those conditions at a teaching table, and fourth seat now played the J on 100% of the hands, without a single queen, which is the opposite result to 2020, but equally bad. Something is definitely messed up one way or the other.
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#22 User is offline   thepossum 

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Posted 2023-November-18, 19:03

View Postsmerriman, on 2023-November-17, 22:53, said:

Well, I just dealt a couple of hundred different random hands with an advanced robot and those conditions at a teaching table, and fourth seat now played the J on 100% of the hands, without a single queen, which is the opposite result to 2020, but equally bad. Something is definitely messed up one way or the other.


Maybe it uses the same seed in a session - could be a winning strategy lol

How many such situations do people face on most nights at the club. What did they do last time?

But at the top level of professional bridge I can imagine commentators sitting around discussing it on TV

Interesting hand this one. Hamman has a QJ. What do the stats say

Checking the records, I remember a time he totally fooled the opps at the Worlds

He was toying with the crowd too. Looked every way he was going to play the Q but at the last minute. Wow. The gasps
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