Hand evaluation (1)
#1
Posted 2005-November-21, 02:23
Playing precision with (12)13-15 1NT, you deal, and open an artificial strong club (16+).
Axx-AJxx-Axx-Axx
1C-(1S)-2D*-(p)
?
After the overcall 1S, 2D is natural, 5+ cards, nonforcing (about 5-7 hcp).
What do you bid ?
#2
Posted 2005-November-21, 02:29
assume p can bid 3d with long d and invite hand? If not Change System!
#3
Posted 2005-November-21, 02:29
I would simly pass here. 4 bullets is quite nice, but if partner can only produce a NF 2♦, I think we're far away from game. If partner happens to have KQJxxx and 3NT makes, then that's a bit unlucky. I don't know your styles here, but I don't see how I can find out if partner holds that hand or a hand with Qxxxx of diamonds and 3 other points scattered about.
#4
Posted 2005-November-21, 02:33
mike777, on Nov 21 2005, 08:29 AM, said:
assume p can bid 3d with long d and invite hand?
No , 3X is natural GF, selfsufficient suit.
2D is in itself an invite, 5+ cards, but we ignore whether the suit length is 5 or 6 or more.
Double would have been 2-way = either a GF not worth a jump (no self sufficient suit), or invitational + with a semibalanced hand, more or less a negative double hand-type with a minimum of 5-7 hcp.
#5
Posted 2005-November-21, 02:46
Chamaco, on Nov 21 2005, 03:33 AM, said:
mike777, on Nov 21 2005, 08:29 AM, said:
assume p can bid 3d with long d and invite hand?
No , 3X is natural GF, selfsufficient suit.
2D is in itself an invite, 5+ cards, but we ignore whether the suit length is 5 or 6 or more.
Double would have been 2-way = either a GF not worth a jump (no self sufficient suit), or invitational + with a semibalanced hand, more or less a negative double hand-type with a minimum of 5-7 hcp.
1c=(1s)=3d=game force ugggggg really hate that.
#6
Posted 2005-November-21, 02:52
#7
Posted 2005-November-21, 03:27
and clarify the point range.
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#8
Posted 2005-November-21, 03:30
Alain
#9
Posted 2005-November-21, 04:48
I have another question to the freinds who posted.
I understand the rationale of the 2NT bidders (worried by the strong notrumper field).
I have instead a question to the 3D bidders:
assume responder has
Kxx-Tx-KJxxxx-xx
Or anyways a good maximum.
What should he expect from a 3D raise ? a balanced hand ? unbalanced ?
Should he probe for NT ? etc etc
I am worried that the 3D raise might be just too nebulous for responder to be able to evaluate properly, comments ?
#10
Posted 2005-November-21, 04:56
Chamaco, on Nov 21 2005, 11:48 AM, said:
Hi Mauro,
IMO, raising a minor under 3NT in those kind of auction is first NT oriented.
If you don't bid 3♦, partner can't judge his hand. Here, with the hand you give (Kxx-Tx-KJxxxx-xx), this is a max and 6-card suit so I accept the invitation and bid 3♠ (ok for 3NT and nothing in ♥) or 3NT directly.
Alain
#11
Posted 2005-November-21, 05:27
1NT pass
I'd try 2NT then.
#12
Posted 2005-November-21, 06:08
Echognome, on Nov 21 2005, 10:29 AM, said:
I would simly pass here. 4 bullets is quite nice, but if partner can only produce a NF 2♦, I think we're far away from game. If partner happens to have KQJxxx and 3NT makes, then that's a bit unlucky. I don't know your styles here, but I don't see how I can find out if partner holds that hand or a hand with Qxxxx of diamonds and 3 other points scattered about.
I don't know Mauro's style either, but I would hope he wouldn't bid 2♦ with Q-5th and more points somewhere else

It was matchpoints that made me bid 2NT. 3♦ is right on values, but I share Maruo's doubts that we will ever get to 3NT when partner doesn't have a spade stopper (or any stopper, for that matter).
#13
Posted 2005-November-21, 06:40
#14
Posted 2005-November-21, 06:48
Besides I evaluate Han as a nice guy but somehow there was no option for that in the poll.
#15
Posted 2005-November-21, 06:50
Echognome, on Nov 21 2005, 03:29 AM, said:
If partner has only sixth diamond king 3NT is on 2-2 diamonds, so 40%. I bid 2NT on both MPs and IMPs. That is exactly what I have so I'll bid it.
#16
Posted 2005-November-21, 07:17
For (1), is partner going to bid on any 5 diamonds and 5-7 points? Will partner pass or double sometimes? I don't know, as I don't know partners tendencies. Second point is why do I want to declare NT? Partner hasn't asked me for a spade stopper yet. If partner is looking at a source of tricks in diamonds and I like diamonds, then why not raise 2♦ to 3♦? What if partner has
♠Qx
♥xxx
♦QJTxxx
♣Qx
Now we want partner to declare NT or we will get killed on a club lead. Holding all the aces and only one possible tenace (hearts) is not usually best for NT. How to express this to partner is difficult. On the other hand, many will open my hand 1NT, so will have to declare from their side. At least we will flatten the result.
Also, in line with the MPs aspect, since many will open 1NT, partner will often transfer to diamonds. We will super-accept and partner will either sign-off in 3♦ or bid 3NT. Alternatively, it will go 1NT - All Pass. Thus, I don't mind playing in 2♦ as we will do as well as or better than all those in 3♦. We will either win or lose to those in 3NT, and we will either take an extra 2 tricks in diamonds or we won't compared to those in 1NT. If I bid 2NT, partner will either pass us there, correct to 3♦ or bid 3NT. If he passes us in 2NT, we will probably get a poor result unless there are exactly 8 tricks available in NT where we will get an average. If he corrects to 3♦ (as some people said with a poor suit), then we will probably get an average result. If he bids 3NT, then we get an average plus if it makes and an average minus if it goes down. Note that we are under-strength for 3NT and many will not even invite (with 5-7 opposite 15-17).
The second point is what does 2NT mean in my system? Does it show that I had a 16-18(19) point opener? Is a 2NT opening 19-20? Does it show a variety of 16+ hands with a spade stopper that is now inviting to 3NT? Does it deny (4)5 hearts? etc. etc.
#17
Posted 2005-November-21, 07:24
Quote
This was undiscussed, and is part of the reasons why I am posting this hand, to hear some feedback.
Quote
This is easier.
2NT CANNOT be GF, so it shows a hand in the 17-18 range, probably suggesting to play 3NT.
With any 19+ or equivalent opposite a 5-7 responder, responder would just force game.
I agree with all the doubts you formulated and - unfortunately- I am hre on BBF not so much to answer these doubts but to ask to you folks to help ME clarifying these bidding style issues

#18
Posted 2005-November-21, 07:59
Do unto others as you would have others do unto you.
"Mediocrity knows nothing higher than itself, but talent instantly recognizes genius".
#19
Posted 2005-November-21, 08:24
I voted for pass. I think that partner should force to game with some hands having suits like KQJxxx even if they have less than 8 HCP's.
- hrothgar
#20
Posted 2005-November-21, 08:34
Hannie, on Nov 21 2005, 02:24 PM, said:
I voted for pass. I think that partner should force to game with some hands having suits like KQJxxx even if they have less than 8 HCP's.
Ok, here is my view:
I think that Aces are worth more than 4 hcp even for balanced hands, say about 4.5 hcp.
When opener learns that responder has something, he *knows* responder will have soft values (we've got all the aces !!), but that our aces wil reinforce anything useful from pard.
We also know that responder (becasue of his lone soft values) is unlikely to make any move towards reevaluating hi hand, unless we do not show him signs of interest.
Besides, despite the 4333 shape, I evaluate this hand closer to a 18.5 hcp rather than a 17, and if we find either 6 diamonds running OR 5 diamonds + a side trick we should be home in NT.
This is why I would have invited with 2NT.
And yes, with KQJxxx I agree with Han, I think the hand might be treated as a minimum GF hand.