RHO opened 3♥. Your turn...
what do you bid ?
#2
Posted 2007-March-16, 01:32
#4
Posted 2007-March-16, 02:48
It is a guess, I would prefer 3 Spades, but can live with the other bids too.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#5
Posted 2007-March-16, 09:22
3NT with only one stop doubleton is way too likely to fail.
Double way too likely to miss S 5-3.
#7
Posted 2007-March-16, 09:39
#8
Posted 2007-March-16, 09:54
I don't understand double.
Peter
#9
Posted 2007-March-16, 10:51
#10
Posted 2007-March-16, 10:57
For instance, if partner has a tendency/willingness to convert 3♠ to 3NT when it seems right, even without a stopper, then I'll bid 3♠. If not, then I'll bid 3NT. I might double if partner will convert a double to 3NT on feel, especially if partner will bid 3♠ with a junk hand and three small spades. Just some examples of my thinking here.
-P.J. Painter.
#11
Posted 2007-March-16, 12:04
#12
Posted 2007-March-16, 14:01
mikeh, on Mar 16 2007, 10:39 AM, said:
I'm really surprised by this, usually you are quite sensible.
I suspect if you consider it a little deeper, you might come to realize that double has to be the most flexible and the best call on the hand, at IMP's.
Why?
1) The scoring is IMP's, I really don't have to play in a major suit to do ok on the board. We should attempt to find our best fit. Bidding 3S or 3N directly, does not involve partner in this decision. In addition to having spades, I also have a fit with either minor, so lets try to find out what partners hand really is, instead of insisting on spades or NT with our first bid.
2) We can be reasonably certain that partner is not leaving the double in. If he does, we are still quite happy.
3) We can be reasonably certain that partner cannot bid 3N on his own. Playing 3N only being able to hold up once may not be such a great idea (although I prefer the choice of 3N to 3S).
4) If partner can bid 3N by some odd miracle, we are quite content. Not only that, we are better placed, since an opening heart lead lead will be going into his hand, and not thru it. And any non-heart lead by RHO may well give us the tempo required to make 3N.
5) It is quite likely that if I can indeed make 3N, that 5 of minor is safer, especially from the other side of the table.
6) Partner may well have spades and bid them on their own.
7) Partner just as easily could have a stiff or doubleton spade and a 5 or 6 card minor, where 4/5 of minor is cold, but 3S/4S goes down.
8) It is unlikely that we will ever find the minor fit, if we just bid 3S or 3N.
9) Partner probably will not take us off of 3S on a holding such as: xx xx KQxx AQxxx (maybe he should, but many wouldn't). Note on this holding we probably only make 3S, but 5C is certainly reasonable. Partner may also raise us to an unmakeable 4S on this holding.
10) Good partners bid 3S on 3-3-4-3 holdings and 3-2-4-4 holdings when weak.
11) Experience has proven to me that X is the best call. It goes against everything that one is ever taught about bidding in these situations. I fought this for years with my current regular partner. The results have proven (to me) that doubling has to be best and it is practically automatic now. And it works.
At matchpoints, the problem is tougher. If you double, you will likely bypass the highest scoring game available (3N), since partner can be expected to bid 4 of a minor. In this scenario, 3N is mainly just a matchpoint call (as is 3S), and good partners recognize this when they fail.
So many experts, not enough X cards.
#13
Posted 2007-March-16, 15:09
bid_em_up, on Mar 16 2007, 03:01 PM, said:
mikeh, on Mar 16 2007, 10:39 AM, said:
I'm really surprised by this, usually you are quite sensible.
I suspect if you consider it a little deeper, you might come to realize that double has to be the most flexible and the best call on the hand, at IMP's.
7) Partner just as easily could have a stiff or doubleton spade and a 5 or 6 card minor, where 4/5 of minor is cold, but 3S/4S goes down.
8) It is unlikely that we will ever find the minor fit, if we just bid 3S or 3N.
9) Partner probably will not take us off of 3S on a holding such as: xx xx KQxx AQxxx (maybe he should, but many wouldn't). Note on this holding we probably only make 3S, but 5C is certainly reasonable. Partner may also raise us to an unmakeable 4S on this holding.
10) Good partners bid 3S on 3-3-4-3 holdings and 3-2-4-4 holdings when weak.
I am astounded by this as, usually, you are quite sensible
We can all come up with hands to justify our choice. The hands you use to disparage 3♠ are fine. But, unless RHO is under the age of 30, and, even then, most of the time, a dummy of xx xx KQxx AQxxx will do very nicely in 3N more times than not: RHO needs either an unlikely 6 card ♥ suit or the ♦A.
And for every construction like that, where 5minor is superior, I offer you one such as xx xx Qxx AQxxxx. Now your flexible double takes you...... uh.... 4♣? Lose 10 if you make it. Lose 12 if you fail on a ♦ ruff and a late ♥ loser. Nice call... at least, it was flexible, which had better be your teammates's attitude as you explain why you doubled 3♥.
Finally, while I usually do not care for out-of-context aphorisms, preferring to think rather than quote, this may be a perfect place for application of Hamman's rule. As you have (sensibly) pointed out, if you don't bid 3N, you ain't getting there. Bidding the best game may be a scary choice and is certainly 'inflexible', but sometimes one just has to do it.
#14
Posted 2007-March-16, 16:09
It was this part of your statement: "with double belonging on a different, and lesser, planet" that surprised me.
While 3N may or may not work, X is clearly superior (to me) over 3S at IMP's, for the reasons listed and it surprised me that you consider it the last, and seemingly, "an out of this world choice".
I would have expected your choices to either be X or 3N, but never 3S.
So many experts, not enough X cards.
#15
Posted 2007-March-16, 16:32
bid_em_up, on Mar 16 2007, 05:09 PM, said:
It was this part of your statement: "with double belonging on a different, and lesser, planet" that surprised me.
While 3N may or may not work, X is clearly superior (to me) over 3S at IMP's, for the reasons listed and it surprised me that you consider it the last, and seemingly, "an out of this world choice".
I would have expected your choices to either be X or 3N, but never 3S.
3NT is much more of an imp bid than a MP bid. You are taking your chance at a game swing since it may be right and there is no other way to get there, but it could go down a lot which is a total disaster at MPs.
Your entire post about the double makes little sense to me. Several of the points you make seem to refute double if anything (about how miraculous it would be if partner passed or bid 3NT). Since when did the main goal of bidding over a preempt become selecting the choice most likely to increase the level to see which of our three card minors partner prefers when we have an unmentioned 5 card major and the opponent's suit stopped?
I would bid 3♠ without the heart jack but it convinces me to bid 3NT. It not only gives us another stopper when partner has as little as Txx, but often even when he has less than that. Partner 9xx, LHO stiff T for example. Even partner 432, LHO Q, RHO KT98765. I think 3♠ is fine though.
#16
Posted 2007-March-17, 09:46
- hrothgar
#19
Posted 2007-March-19, 10:03
Fluffy, on Mar 19 2007, 05:39 AM, said:
While the ♥J is not a huge card, I once heard of a 3♥ opening on a 7 card suit with no side entry, so the possession of the J allows me to duck the first lead.
I also once heard of a partner tabling 10xx after a 3♥ opening on his left.
Heck, I once heard of a hand where we had 9 top tricks in 3N even with only 1♥ stopper!
#20
Posted 2007-March-20, 02:17

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