jdonn, on Sep 15 2008, 06:50 PM, said:
I really think the choice is between 2♠ and 2♦ depending how much you decide your hand is worth. 2♣ has such a finality to it, partner often passes when there is a better contract available in spades or diamonds on hands like this. It's even just conceivable for partner to pass with slam available in another suit, especially since he will downgrade for club shortness. Sure that's unlikely, but he will very often pass when we have a game. Additionally, I completely disagree with the idea that if partner doesn't pass we can easily describe our hand - we can describe the spade or diamond aspect next round, but not both. For example if it goes
1♣ 1♠
2♣ 3♣
3♠ 3NT
then we are left with a complete guess about whether to pass or bid on. Sorry enough railing against what I don't like. I will go for 2♦, which leaves me with easy followups always, as pclayton described.
Hey, feel free to rail: I read the comments especially when they disagree with my choice, and I have changed my mind once in a while, as a result.
But not here, at least not based on this post.
I have two problems with your argument.
1stly: I find your problem auction (even if just an example) to be silly.
The constraints on the other 3 hands, in this auction, are unrealistic.
Partner lacks a balanced 10-11 hcp, with club support and red suit values, since he would rebid 2N, not 3
♣. So he has 8-9 (maybe a really ugly 10).
If he has 5 spades, he has to be at best 5=3=2=3, since he needs 3 clubs and can hardly own a stiff diamond for 3N. This means the silent opps hold 10-11 hearts and 16-18 hcp. I don't find this plausible.
If he has 4 spades, then he has at most 3 hearts, else he'd have bid 1
♥.
So this auction won't happen in our lifetimes.
But what if he did have a hand consistent with 3N?
Please explain how your reverse solves the problem?
If he has red stoppers in a modest hand, we are not making 5
♣. My route gets to 4
♣: I limited my hand with 2
♣, made an invitational call with 3
♠, confirming shape, and rejected 3N via a non-forcing 4
♣.
But the same hand is insoluble after a reverse.
I say this because, in the real world, responder, armed with 8-10 hcp and honour 3rd in clubs, will bid 3
♣ over your reverse... which, in every good partnership of which I know, is gf.
Now you bid 3
♠ and hear 3N. Your call.
You are doomed. You are in a gf auction on a hand on which you cannot construct a layout on which any game has a good play.
Now, does this make 2
♦ horrific? No. There will be hands on which the hugely undervalue (by NA standards) reverse will hit a home run. I happen to think that we can get there from here, most of the time, after 2
♣. I also happen to think that both 2
♣ and 2
♦ will lead to silly contracts a small percentage of the time.. and I don't think that there is any easy way to prove which is the more effective approach.
btw, any immediate spade raise will usually destroy our ability to reach either minor as a trump suit, and may leave us very poorly placed if partner decides to bid 3N at any point, so it, too, is not a panacea.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari