bluejak, on Mar 1 2010, 04:50 PM, said:
Cascade, on Mar 1 2010, 08:07 PM, said:
Why are you assuming the 1NT overcaller has 15?
Because you assume partner is operating, not the opponent, and that's illegal. It is quite common for a 1NT overcaller to have a suit, a few points, and hope.
This doesn't seem obvious to me merely from the auction and hand. If we add more information to the circumstances and find out that one of the reasons the E/W partnership has no history of psyching is because they have no history at all. E/W met at the partnership desk and this is the first time they've played in the same field, let alone as partners. Would it still be a red psych in that circumstance?
Don't we need more information than just the auction and hand. And isn't there common bridge knowledge that lots of people, even unknown partners, are much more flexible in their 3rd seat bidding. There might well be a hand similar to this one that is on the boundary of what I'd X with. And in such situation I'm more likely to X if I'm in 4th seat than 1st seat because, even playing with someone I've never heard of before, I'd trust their 2nd seat bidding more than their 3rd seat bidding and for marginal calls where I could go either way between pass and X I'd use things like seat and how much I respected the opponents to influence which call I'd choose.