If I had about 3 hours; I could fully anaylyze this one. This problem is a lot like Pavlicek's play and defense problems. If you're a decent player, you should be able to figure most of them out; perhaps not perfectly, after an extended period of time. I have tremendous respect for those who ace the problems, no matter how much time is granted, since they are so tough. I still spent a good 90 minutes on this one mulling it over in my head. I will admit my first reaction was to cash the K
♣, A
♣.
However, I have serious doubts that even world class players can get problems like Ben's and Pavliceks right on a consistent basis at the table. The amount of time needed to analyze all of the perforations isn't available. Nevertheless, I love trying to solve problems like this, and I think they add to your overall knowledge of logical bridge play.
___________________________________
Wiith that being said: We have 10 tricks off the top with the diamond finesse now marked as wrong. Even if we get the club suit correct, we'll still need to find 3-3 hearts or the spade hook right. To use a few terms from Fred Karpin, we need to 'eschelon' our plays correctly to combine all of our chances. Further, this hand has an 'avoidance' element in it as well.
With one unusual exception (see footnote below), I will need to take the spade finesse . So, I'm crossing to hand with the A
♣ at T2 to take the spade hook. Whether or not it wins will determine the rest of my play. Lets be generous and say it wins. Now, I cash the A
♠, pitching a heart., and playing A-K
♥. I do not ruff a heart at this point, because I don't want an overruff by LHO if RHO has 4 (I fully realize that I need to pick up the trump suit if RHO has 4 hearts, since a red suit squeeze will not operate against RHO, but I can't lose to Q, Qx or Qxx on my left with an overruff).
Now I'm almost home. Ruff a spade to hand and play J
♣, hooking to the supposed Qx. If RHO holds xx of hearts, he's endplayed. If RHO holds 3 hearts, he has to play one and the suit will set up. If RHO has 4 hearts, I think I'm down whatever I do.; any squeeze against RHO is isometric.
If the spade hook loses, I need to pick up the trump (get your water witch out), and hope for 3-3 hearts. I can manage my entries easily enough, since RHO can't attack the diamond suit at T3.
I'm not going to calculate the %'s of this play, but it seems pretty good. I'll be interested to find out if there is a better answer.
Footnote: What I said about not taking the spade finesse is this: If you play RHO for specifically 2 hearts, you can win the diamond at T1, cash the AK
♥ and play A
♣, J
♣, looking to endplay RHO with Qx of clubs. But this play loses whenever RHO has 3 hearts, so this is out.
This post has been edited by pclayton: 2004-September-30, 16:30
No opposition bidding.. your auction was...
2D 2S
3N 6C
Pass
Where 2D was either weak two in a major or monster balanced hand. 3NT showed balanced 25-28, and you took a shot at 6C.
This is a hand from BBO Team game