bigbenvic, on 2011-October-24, 21:48, said:
On the first board he has 10 tricks if phil's defence happens. He makes 4 club ruffs, (kh on the 4th round) 5 tricks in hand and the spade K for 10. If he's 3613 with a red Ace he has 6 reds, a spade, and 3 ruffs of clubs (partner can't lead a 2nd trump when in)
Will partner ever have 5♦ only? if yes then we may have A♣, A♠ and 2♦ to take? That seems unlikely so to beat this S has to have 5♥ 1♦ and 6 black cards, could he have 4♠ and 2♣? probably not, if he's 3/3 then trump lead, if partner win the ♦ - trump from him, cuts souths ruffs down, JS in partners hand would beat it.
So either part has Jxx ♠ and A♦ or he has a stiff spade, I'm not playing south for 4513 as parter would have 1273 so I switch a trump.
He cannot ever take more than 3 club ruffs, and that only if he ruffs the 4th club with the K.
Moreover, if he has 5!h and 1D, be must have 7 black cards, not 6.
If this is the layout, and you switch to a trump, you have taken away his losing option, and forced him to play on spades rather than ruff clubs. Playing for 4-4 clubs might not seem that tempting, but neither is playing for 2-2 hearts, if QS in the slot is the best line there is nothing really to be done. With hearts 2-2 you cannot ever prevent him from winning.
IF partner has the J of spades your defence is basically irrelevant provided that south has at least 3 spades - he has no where to ditch his losing spades.
One layout I did not consider originally is that south has two spades but no diamond to lose, however if he has AD and xxx spades he will win the trump switch in hand and play a spade up, again you cannot defeat the contract.
Pretty much any hand where Declarer has A to 6 hearts is irrelevant, as he will always be able to ruff his clubs, and the defence hinges on his having two spade losers. As far as I can see a trump switch can never gain - declarer will never want or need to ruff 3 clubs. If he has 4 clubs and 2/3 spades he must play on spades at some point anyway, and then he will be able to pitch a losing club, moreover if partner has Qx hearts, a trump switch is terrible.
A club continuation is actually a better play in most hands where declarer is ruffing clubs, as it will give him the losing choice of attempting to ruff 3, playing partner for 3-1-6-3. If declarer has the T9!s ruffing the third round as a "finesse" with the 8 might be attractive.
The only hands I can construct that needs any defence other than a top club is to switch to a low spade, in case partner is xx Ax KQxxxx xxx, but this means that declarer has bid like a *******, ofc, I am assuming that partner is a 100% to have 6 diamonds, if he could have 5 then i might need a diamond switch. Or to switch to the ace of spades in case partner has a singleton.
TBH, switching to ace and another spade might well be your best chance to beat the contract, as most hands where you can beat this rely on declarer having bid absurdly.
The physics is theoretical, but the fun is real. - Sheldon Cooper
These are all simple defensive decisions that I handled unsuccessfully. Please allocate marks out of ten to the choices that you consider.
1. At teams, you are West, on lead against South's 4♥. You lead ♣K, T, 7, 2 (Your normal agreement is king for count but McKenny with a singleton in dummy (a middle card encourages). What do you lead at trick two? ♠A, ♠6, ♥6, ♦J, ♦6, or ♣Q.