Phil, on 2012-May-11, 12:39, said:
There was a beautiful hand in the USBC here Hemant abandoned his winners to stop Reese from getting squeezed in the red suits.
Surely there are many similar layouts on this hand from the defender's perspective where it is correct to follow Hemant's line of defense and not cash the spades.
On this hand, I can see a beautiful swindle if RHO has the ♦A and LHO abandons his spade winners.
People are horrible at problem hands - you gave them the problem before you'd won the ♠K so they all went ... "oooooh must be right to duck RHO must have QJ xxxx Axx xxxx and we can duck and duck again, knock out the ♦A and strip squeeze LHO" (as if that's the right play. Obviously everyone wins the ♠K (even though it can be right to duck it). Maybe you should have given the problem as "what do you play at trick 2?"
However, I think you are over thinking the hand as much as the other posters. If you play back a Spade they will cash their Spade tricks with 90-95% certainty (come on Meckstroth cashed them in the same position). If your ruse requires a defence found by only one player at the US trials then it's just not worth pursuing.
It might be the right play if it doesn't give up other chances, eg would anyone really duck with AQxxx Qx(x) Ax(x) xx(x) (any 2 of the 3 small cards in Hearts/Diamonds/Spades). Sneaking 2 Diamond tricks seems unlikely so you'd either need LHO to have the ♥Q and subsequently get strip squeezed, or Spades 4-3 or LHO 55 in the Majors (very unlikely) so the ♥Q comes down. There's also the chance that Spades are AT8xx opposite QJ and the opponents don't manage to untangle it (LHO wins ♦A and either switches to find partner's entry or continues with a LOW spade).