Do you bid 5♠ or pass?
Your call, high level decision
#3
Posted 2020-November-17, 09:03
Ignoring that silly hope for a second, North rates to have a singleton or void in spades, and with a broke partner our combined assets are worthless. Let's pray they go 5♣+1, or that South holds something like ♠Jxxx and was getting ready to cash in the 1100 in 5♠X.
#4
Posted 2020-November-17, 09:36
Assuming this is matchpoints, bidding on works if the outcome is -500 against -600 for 5C (and to be fair, it hits the jackpot if opps bid 6C and go off).
However, to hold 5Sx to -500, partner needs to produce a trick; which might also be the setting trick against 5C.
Bidding on can lose three ways: if the opps have only 10 tricks in clubs, or if they have 12 and take the push to 6C, or if they can collect 800 from 5Sx.
#5
Posted 2020-November-17, 10:20
5♣ made +1 for a 27% board for us. Eight out of 14 Easts were in 3, 4 or 5♠ making or going no more than two off, sometimes doubled (four players bid to 5♠). The only pair to do worse than us was the one who defended 5♣X+1, -950. Four pairs in spades managed to make 10 tricks.
#6
Posted 2020-November-17, 10:37
YOu posted the hand while I was posting this, 5♠ is very fortunate that diamonds are 2-2 otherwise it can easily be held to 7 tricks
If my partner overcalled 2♣ or even a vulnerable 3♣ WJO I'd be very likely to bidding 6 with the N hand, and 5♣ would not cross my mind as the first bid.
#7
Posted 2020-November-17, 10:42
Arguably it says more about the field than about the hand when 5♣+1 against is a 27% board, since of course 6♣ is cold.
#8
Posted 2020-November-17, 11:13
DavidKok, on 2020-November-17, 10:42, said:
Arguably it says more about the field than about the hand when 5♣+1 against is a 27% board, since of course 6♣ is cold.
What do you think West should bid if they are going to bid anything? If I were sitting West I would pass, the hand doesn't look good enough for 2♦, unless you play a system where direct bids after an overcall are weak and reasonable/strong hands go through a double first.
#9
Posted 2020-November-17, 11:51
AL78, on 2020-November-17, 11:13, said:
I think you can consider double, pulling 2♥ to 2♠. That should be almost exactly this hand - some points, but not strong enough for 2♦, with exactly 2 spades and at most 3 hearts (and therefore at least 5 diamonds).
#11
Posted 2020-November-17, 13:06
DavidKok, on 2020-November-17, 11:51, said:
That sounds like a two places to play bid.
#13
Posted 2020-November-17, 13:28
2C red v white with 8 hcp and that horrible Jxx in spades is silly, imo, unless desperate to create action.
5C is beyond belief. Give partner say xxx xx KQx AKJxx, a reasonable but hardly maximum 2C overcall, and how do we reach 6C, which is laydown?
Or, heaven forbid, Axx xx Kx AKxxxx where we have 13 winners in clubs.
As for responder, when one holds nothing (including no good fit) the best course is to stay quiet. We have negative defence....what we have is very soft....and no fit. Doubling, planning to 'correct' hearts to diamonds may sound good on paper, but pray tell what one does if partner bids 4H on his 5=4=3=1 hand? Correct to 5D? Oh...me bad...he has 5=5=1=2.
Or what does one do when he doubles, mistakenly thinking that your negative double was based on hand that looks like a negative double?
As for the OP action, I don't mind 1S. This hand has a little too much potential to open 4S, as far as I am concerned. I'd open 4S in 3rd. Having witnessed the actual auction, I'm not entirely sure what I'd do, in part because I came to the thread after the 4 hands were posted. However, I think the best course is to pass. Bidding 5S pretty much forces them to double, although their bidding suggests they don't know much about the game, so maybe they will do something silly (which of course may see RHO bidding 6C!).
Had RHO made a more normal call, whether that be 2H or 3H (fit-showing) or 2S or 3S (splinter), I'd happily bid 4S.
As it is, I suspect that in a good field one would see few 2C overcalls, so responder would bid 1N. North would probably bid 2H and opener 4S. That basically shuts N-S out of the auction, leaving the club suit dying on the vine.
I'd not worry about getting a bad board here. Sometimes you bite the bear, sometimes the bear bites you.
Worrying about how to cope with bad but lucky bidding will lead one to make a lot of bad decisions on those hands where the opps are actually bidding normally.
#14
Posted 2020-November-17, 15:28
mikeh, on 2020-November-17, 13:28, said:
2C red v white with 8 hcp and that horrible Jxx in spades is silly, imo, unless desperate to create action.
5C is beyond belief. Give partner say xxx xx KQx AKJxx, a reasonable but hardly maximum 2C overcall, and how do we reach 6C, which is laydown?
Or, heaven forbid, Axx xx Kx AKxxxx where we have 13 winners in clubs.
As for responder, when one holds nothing (including no good fit) the best course is to stay quiet. We have negative defence....what we have is very soft....and no fit. Doubling, planning to 'correct' hearts to diamonds may sound good on paper, but pray tell what one does if partner bids 4H on his 5=4=3=1 hand? Correct to 5D? Oh...me bad...he has 5=5=1=2.
Or what does one do when he doubles, mistakenly thinking that your negative double was based on hand that looks like a negative double?
As for the OP action, I don't mind 1S. This hand has a little too much potential to open 4S, as far as I am concerned. I'd open 4S in 3rd. Having witnessed the actual auction, I'm not entirely sure what I'd do, in part because I came to the thread after the 4 hands were posted. However, I think the best course is to pass. Bidding 5S pretty much forces them to double, although their bidding suggests they don't know much about the game, so maybe they will do something silly (which of course may see RHO bidding 6C!).
Had RHO made a more normal call, whether that be 2H or 3H (fit-showing) or 2S or 3S (splinter), I'd happily bid 4S.
As it is, I suspect that in a good field one would see few 2C overcalls, so responder would bid 1N. North would probably bid 2H and opener 4S. That basically shuts N-S out of the auction, leaving the club suit dying on the vine.
I'd not worry about getting a bad board here. Sometimes you bite the bear, sometimes the bear bites you.
Worrying about how to cope with bad but lucky bidding will lead one to make a lot of bad decisions on those hands where the opps are actually bidding normally.
You may think the bidding nuts, but at my club that sort of bidding happens frequently, and unfortunately I lack sufficient skill and/or judgement to regularly punish them for it, or bid on to whatever our best contract is (or the cards lie very favourably). What slightly concerns me is people who bid like this will learn that it works frequently against me, so will keep taking liberties. I like to put the hand up on here to check whether I could have judged better.
#15
Posted 2020-November-17, 16:08
AL78, on 2020-November-17, 13:06, said:
In some sense it is - spades and diamonds. But mikeh's point is well made, double is risky (not to say 'bad'). I think passing can also be risky with that West hand, but perhaps it is a lesser risk in this situation (I mostly judged the hand to be very aggressive, with slow values in the long diamond suit, so I wanted to push a bit in the hope that our side could declare).
AL78, on 2020-November-17, 15:28, said:
In my experience this is most often a fallacy. Bad bidders do not tend to "learn that it works", you just happen to remember the times it worked against you. In the long run this type of bidding loses. You don't even have to punish them, just lean back and wait for a bad result to come in.
#16
Posted 2020-November-17, 16:47
AL78, on 2020-November-17, 15:28, said:
I’ve played a lot of club bridge, although virtually none for the past ten years. So I can identify with your reality. Most club players are bad. Most have no idea of how bad they are.
One of the problems that relatively inexperienced players will have in that environment is that there may be few, if any, better players.
If there are some better players...say ‘advanced’, then I’d suggest you see whether any of them will play with you a few times. If so, and once face to face bridge returns, go for a beer, or coffee or what have you, after the game and discuss hands. If all goes well, maybe you’ll form a partnership.
Or try to find a like-minded player at your level, and discuss ideas, including ideas you learn here. Ideally, you’d find a common source for bidding ideas.
I’m currently playing with a very good player with whom I had a partnership 20+ years ago. We’re playing very different methods than we used to use. We live in different cities. We go through every hand, by telephone, after every session. We also use a hand generator to create deals, or use old Bridge Worlds or the ACBL Bulletin to bid hands once a week.
Nobody gets better without practice, and learning how to bid is worthless if your partner doesn’t share your ideas.
You are still going to get bad boards when bad players do bad things and it works out. I used to play weekly with a multiple NABC and Canadian champion, in our local club. We won pretty much all the time, but we rarely had a session in which we were not ‘fixed’ once. Learn that being fixed is nothing to worry about. To the contrary, if you try to avoid being fixed, you will play as badly as your opponents. My philosophy, using a golf analogy, is usually to hit the ball down the middle, in the bidding, taking high risk shots only when under more pressure than most bad players can exert. Or when our bidding methods allowed us to find contracts most other pairs would miss, due to their methods.