smerriman, on 2022-March-28, 14:10, said:
Hmm, I'm a bit stumped.
If West has the spade Ace, it doesn't appear to make much difference what we play. If we play the Q, West will know for sure East doesn't have the King. If we play the A, West will also know East doesn't have the King, both from East's signal and the fact we wouldn't play it with AQx vs xx as that would be the only way to go down.
Conversely, if East has the spade Ace, it also feels like we'll probably make whatever we do - why would East immediately rise with the Ace when we lead a small one from dummy? This would often give away a trick for nothing, unless they know that they need to cash 5 tricks immediately, and neither heart play seems to imply that.
I guess I'll play the Q as it at least leaves East slightly in the dark, and maybe lead the J of spades in case West thinks they have to duck. But there must be something else to it that I'm not seeing.
It’s a tiny matter, as I said, but here’s how I looked at it:
The ace is out. You’d never play the ace without the king in your hand…you’d duck and now east can’t safely return a heart if he has the king. Also, if the king is onside, we can’t get our second heart trick without giving up a trick…and, presumably, we have other tricks we need to establish as well, and may well lose a critical tempo.
Playing low is out…we have to show the king, and it won’t take a genius to figure out the club switch when we drive out the spade Ace.
So we play the Queen. Yes, we’re not fooling west, but west knows, no matter which heart we win with, that neither he nor east has the king.
They also know they’re not beating us in spades (when I tackle the suit next) and not only has dummy diamond cards, but I opened the suit.
Now over to east. We might very well play the Queen from xxx because we need two heart tricks and/or for reasons of tempo. So when we play the Queen, we foster the illusion that maybe west has the King…in which case that value is elsewhere in our hand. Now, imo, east absolutely needs to rise with the spade ace when we lead spades.I think most experts, on their game, would do so, and then play clubs. This is imps (I apologize if I didn’t say so) so nobody cares about overtricks if there is any chance for a beat.
However, when there is nobody ringing a bell telling one that this is a critical play, it’s easy to duck the spade…and all the more so when you have been seduced into thinking partner probably has the heart king.
East did duck the spade.
Did he do so just because he wasn’t thinking clearly, and was he influenced by the lay of the heart Queen? I don’t know….it’s not the sort of thing you ask😀 but I think it possible…and I know for sure that no other heart play at trick one could create the right mindset.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari