Posted 2007-March-10, 22:51
Hi everybody, I'm new to the forum.
Hannie's point about which club to lead is a good one, but I wonder if a couple of points have been missed.
Partner is marked with the AC; else declarer has 10 tricks by drawing the last trump.
The only diamond holding with which it makes sense for declarer to leave the trump out is Kxxx. If he has Kx he's a lunatic (for the T1 play), and even if he is, he might as well draw the trump, play to KD, presumably establishing diamonds, and then force an entry in clubs. If he has Kxx of diamonds, again it's suicidal to leave the trump out -- he has to figure your partner to have started with Axx of diamonds on the play.
Declarer is virtually marked with KS as well. If he lacked that card his auction would be absurd; also his only real hope would to be establish a minor before drawing trump, hoping the defenders would miss the dummy-tap.
In my opinion laying down AS is therefore incorrect. The only real hope for the defense is to play an appropriate club to partner's hand and hope for a spade return from QS.
p-p-p-1H
p-2C-p-2D
p-3D-p-4H
all pass